Summary: Even though analysts are proclaiming the 2002 elections as a major Republican victory, only a few seats actually changed hands. The shift, however slight, is consequential, as the Republicans have regained control of the Senate while running counter to the long-established tendency for the party holding the White House to lose seats during midterm elections. As the authors show, both the 1998 and 2002 midterms were held under highly unusual circumstances that allowed ...show more the president's party to defy historical trends. In the series you have come to rely on for the most-up-to-date election analysis, Change and Continuity in the 2000 and 2002 Elections clearly explains the significance of the recent midterm elections within the fuller picture of American political behavior.
In addition to the systematic analysis of the National Election Survey (NES) conducted shortly before and after the 2000 presidential and congressional elections, the authors include two additional chapters for this new volume. One is a systematic analysis of the 2002 elections that accounts for Republican gains and discusses implications for changes in public policy. The second places these Republican victories in the context of American party politics and examines how recent changes to nomination procedures -- most importantly the heavily frontloaded primary and caucus schedule for 2004 -- will affect the chances of Democratic presidential hopefuls.
As always, election data are presented in a straightforward manner, avoiding sophisticated statistics that nonexperts find inaccessible, while the most recent research literature is discussed and incorporated. ...show less